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Norway · Eliteserien

16 May 2026 14:00 UTC

MOLDE vs KRISTIANSUND BK

Final 1:0

Molde won Last goal: Molde

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vebjørn Hoff — Molde

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Kristiansund BK
90-minute result: Molde
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 226 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 193 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
151 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
47 predictions

Match overview