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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

16 May 2026 15:30 UTC

JJK vs SALPA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: SalPa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Gezim Voca — SalPa
  2. Miska Lundell — JJK

2nd half

  1. Anton Aaltonen — JJK
  2. Yu Miyazaki — SalPa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 150 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 118 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 26 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
Total 4.5 54% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
92 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 2.5 76% (Strong)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
94 predictions

Match overview