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Denmark · 3. Division · 3. Division Relegation Group

16 May 2026 12:00 UTC

FREM vs IF LYSENG

Final 3:1

Frem won Last goal: Frem

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Marc Winkel — Frem
  2. Philip Blichfeldt — IF Lyseng

2nd half

  1. Malthe Karsberg — Frem
  2. Asger Hemmingsen — Frem

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 155 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
33 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
129 predictions

Match overview