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Romania · Liga II · Liga II Promotion Group

16 May 2026 08:00 UTC

SEPSI OSK vs CHINDIA TARGOVISTE

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Chindia Targoviste

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ignacio Heras — Sepsi OSK
  2. ⚽ Konstantinos Doumtsios — Chindia Targoviste

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Chindia Targoviste
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 315 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
227 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
201 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
162 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
278 predictions

Match overview