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Scotland · League One Qualification

15 May 2026 18:45 UTC

HAMILTON ACADEMICAL vs CLYDE

Final 4:3

Hamilton Academical won Last goal: Hamilton Academical

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kai Smutek (own goal) — Clyde
  2. ⚽ Tony Gallacher — Hamilton Academical
  3. ⚽ Kyle MacDonald — Hamilton Academical
  4. ⚽ Kyle Connell — Clyde

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kyle MacDonald — Hamilton Academical
  2. ⚽ Logan Dunachie — Clyde
  3. ⚽ Tony Gallacher — Hamilton Academical

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Hamilton Academical
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
94%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 50% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 6 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 5 completed matches.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 20% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 20% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
2 predictions
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
3 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
2 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
5 predictions
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
5 predictions

Match overview