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Brazil · Cup

15 May 2026 00:30 UTC

VITORIA vs FLAMENGO

Final 2:0

Vitoria won Last goal: Vitoria

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Erick Serafim — Vitoria

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luan Cândido — Vitoria

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Vitoria
90-minute result: Vitoria
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 90 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 70 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
51 predictions
Both teams to score 32% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
56 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
68 predictions

Match overview