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Saudi Arabia · Pro League · Saudi Pro League

14 May 2026 18:00 UTC

AL-ETTIFAQ vs AL ITTIHAD

Final 1:3

Al Ittihad won Last goal: Al Ittihad

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Houssem Aouar — Al Ittihad
  2. ⚽ Moussa Diaby — Al Ittihad
  3. ⚽ Khalid Al Ghannam — Al-Ettifaq

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Moussa Diaby — Al Ittihad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Al Ittihad
90-minute result: Al Ittihad
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 291 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 273 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
216 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
212 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview