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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

14 May 2026 15:00 UTC

CS SFAXIEN vs ETOILE DU SAHEL

Final 3:1

CS Sfaxien won Last goal: Etoile du Sahel

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Omar Ben Ali — CS Sfaxien
  2. ⚽ Omar Ben Ali — CS Sfaxien
  3. ⚽ Ali Maâloul (penalty) — CS Sfaxien

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Oussema Abid — Etoile du Sahel

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
CS Sfaxien
90-minute result: CS Sfaxien
Off target
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 226 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 229 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
158 predictions
Both teams to score 74% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
220 predictions

Match overview