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Kazakhstan · Cup

13 May 2026 15:00 UTC

KAISAR KYZYLORDA vs TOBOL KOSTANAY

Final 1:1

Kaisar Kyzylorda advanced Last goal: Tobol Kostanay

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bakdaulet Konlimkos — Kaisar Kyzylorda

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dauren Zhumat — Tobol Kostanay

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Kaisar Kyzylorda
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 13 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 8 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
6 predictions
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
2 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
2 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
5 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
6 predictions

Match overview