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Finland · Cup

13 May 2026 15:30 UTC

ROPS vs HJK

Final 0:4

HJK won Last goal: HJK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Emil Levealahti — HJK
  2. ⚽ Lassi Lappalainen — HJK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mustafa Ameen — HJK
  2. ⚽ Alfie Cicale — HJK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: HJK
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
33%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 11% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 45 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 14 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 36% (Weak)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 33% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
4 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
11 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
8 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
10 predictions
Total 4.5 45% (Average)
11 predictions

Match overview