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Saudi Arabia · Pro League · Saudi Pro League

11 May 2026 18:00 UTC

AL-TAAWOUN vs AL AHLI

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Al Ahli won Last goal: Al Ahli

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Toney — Al Ahli

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Angelo Fulgini — Al-Taawoun
  2. ⚽ Roger Ibanez — Al Ahli

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Al Ahli
90-minute result: Al Ahli
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 287 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 269 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
212 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview