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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Northeast

10 May 2026 12:00 UTC

GREIFSWALDER FC vs LOKOMOTIVE LEIPZIG

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Lokomotive Leipzig

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tristan Wagner — Greifswalder FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ayodele Adetula — Lokomotive Leipzig

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Greifswalder FC
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 332 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,444 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1446 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
1093 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
936 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1231 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
902 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
893 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
1169 predictions

Match overview