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Macedonia · Prva Liga

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FK VARDAR SKOPJE vs FK SILEKS

Final 2:1

FK Vardar Skopje won Last goal: FK Sileks

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stefan Cvetkovic — FK Vardar Skopje
  2. ⚽ Goran Zakaric (penalty) — FK Vardar Skopje

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edis Buturovic — FK Sileks

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FK Vardar Skopje
90-minute result: FK Vardar Skopje
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 169 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 176 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
132 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
76 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
133 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
154 predictions

Match overview