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Turkey · Super Lig

09 May 2026 17:00 UTC

GALATASARAY vs ANTALYASPOR

Final 4:2

Galatasaray won Last goal: Galatasaray

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Soner Dikmen · assist Bünyamin Balci — Antalyaspor

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mario Lemina · assist Baris Alper Yilmaz — Galatasaray
  2. ⚽ Soner Dikmen — Antalyaspor
  3. ⚽ Victor Osimhen (penalty) — Galatasaray
  4. ⚽ Victor Osimhen · assist Noa Lang — Galatasaray
  5. ⚽ Kaan Ayhan · assist Mauro Icardi — Galatasaray

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
31%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Galatasaray
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 96 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 283 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
229 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
252 predictions

Match overview