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Sweden · Superettan

09 May 2026 15:00 UTC

GIF SUNDSVALL vs IFK NORRKOEPING

Final 1:3

IFK Norrkoeping won Last goal: IFK Norrkoeping

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Christoffer Nyman — IFK Norrkoeping

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Suwaibou Kebbeh — GIF Sundsvall
  2. ⚽ Moutaz Neffati — IFK Norrkoeping
  3. ⚽ Tim Prica — IFK Norrkoeping

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
IFK Norrkoeping
90-minute result: IFK Norrkoeping
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 167 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 25 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
139 predictions

Match overview