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Poland · II Liga

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PODHALE NOWY TARG vs CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE

Final 3:2

Podhale Nowy Targ won Last goal: Podhale Nowy Targ

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Piotr Giel — Podhale Nowy Targ
  2. ⚽ Marcin Michota — Podhale Nowy Targ

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Bartosz Kurzeja (straight red) — Podhale Nowy Targ
  2. ⚽ Marcin Kozina — Chojniczanka Chojnice
  3. ⚽ Marcin Kozina — Chojniczanka Chojnice
  4. ⚽ Mikolaj Lipien — Podhale Nowy Targ
  5. 🟥 Rafal Majtyka (straight red) — Chojniczanka Chojnice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Chojniczanka Chojnice
90-minute result: Podhale Nowy Targ
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
18%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 264 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
224 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
238 predictions

Match overview