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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

09 May 2026 13:00 UTC

SALPA vs KPV

Final 6:0

SalPa won Last goal: SalPa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Oskari Jakonen — SalPa
  2. Mauro Lulli — SalPa
  3. Severi Pooysaa — SalPa
  4. Mauro Lulli — SalPa

2nd half

  1. Mauro Lulli — SalPa
  2. Ermal Rrustemi — SalPa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
69%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
6:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 144 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 112 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 96% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 2.5 77% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
36 predictions
Total 4.5 23% (Weak)
22 predictions

Match overview