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Italy · Serie B

08 May 2026 18:30 UTC

VIRTUS ENTELLA vs CARRARESE

Final 2:1

Virtus Entella won Last goal: Carrarese

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mattia Tirelli — Virtus Entella

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luigi Cuppone — Virtus Entella
  2. ⚽ Simone Zanon — Carrarese

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Virtus Entella
90-minute result: Virtus Entella
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 368 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 362 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
249 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
204 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
293 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
339 predictions

Match overview