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South Africa · Premier Soccer League

06 May 2026 17:30 UTC

MAMELODI SUNDOWNS FC vs KAIZER CHIEFS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Flavio Silva — Kaizer Chiefs

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Brayan Leon — Mamelodi Sundowns FC
  2. 🟥 Jayden Adams (2nd yellow) — Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
7 predictions

Match overview