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India · Indian Super League

06 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PUNJAB FC vs CHENNAIYIN FC

Final 1:0

Punjab FC won Last goal: Punjab FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lalrinliana Hnamte (own goal) — Punjab FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Punjab FC
90-minute result: Punjab FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 70 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 70 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 18 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
51 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
63 predictions

Match overview