← Back to matches

Sweden · Superettan

05 May 2026 17:00 UTC

FALKENBERGS FF vs IFK NORRKOEPING

Final 1:0

Falkenbergs FF won Last goal: Falkenbergs FF

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Oskar Lindberg — Falkenbergs FF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Falkenbergs FF
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 199 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 164 completed matches.

1X2 17% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 17% (Weak)
30 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
112 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
136 predictions

Match overview