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Denmark · Superliga · Superligaen Championship Playoff

04 May 2026 17:00 UTC

FC MIDTJYLLAND vs VIBORG

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Viborg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Asker Beck — Viborg
  2. ⚽ Darío Osorio — FC Midtjylland
  3. ⚽ Pedro Bravo — FC Midtjylland
  4. ⚽ Asker Beck — Viborg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Martin Erlic — FC Midtjylland
  2. ⚽ Dorian Junior — Viborg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
FC Midtjylland
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 176 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 176 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
121 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
147 predictions

Match overview