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Saudi Arabia · Pro League · Saudi Pro League

04 May 2026 18:00 UTC

AL-ETTIFAQ vs AL NAJMA

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Al Najma
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 258 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
230 predictions

Match overview