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India · I League · Indian Football League Promotion Group

03 May 2026 13:00 UTC

DIAMOND HARBOUR vs SREENIDI DECCAN FC

Final 1:2

Sreenidi Deccan FC won Last goal: Diamond Harbour

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Sunday Afolabi (straight red) — Diamond Harbour
  2. ⚽ Jagdeep Singh — Sreenidi Deccan FC
  3. ⚽ Juan Castaneda — Sreenidi Deccan FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hugo Díaz (penalty) — Diamond Harbour

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Sreenidi Deccan FC
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
22%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 52 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 51 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 18 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 22% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
14 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
12 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
37 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
44 predictions

Match overview