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Scotland · League Two

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ANNAN ATHLETIC vs FORFAR

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Forfar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Aidan Smith — Annan Athletic
  2. ⚽ Jake Dolzanski — Forfar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Annan Athletic
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 164 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
136 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
149 predictions

Match overview