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Romania · Superliga · Superliga Relegation Group

02 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FCV FARUL CONSTANTA vs BOTOSANI

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: FCV Farul Constanta

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Mailat — Botosani

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Denis Alibec — FCV Farul Constanta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
FCV Farul Constanta
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 286 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
208 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
231 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
148 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
226 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
265 predictions

Match overview