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Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Relegation Group

01 May 2026 17:00 UTC

AAB vs HOBRO

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Hobro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mathias Kubel — AaB

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Soeren Andreasen — Hobro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Hobro
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 10% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
119 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
60 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
72 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
108 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
141 predictions

Match overview