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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

01 May 2026 13:00 UTC

IRONI MODIIN vs SC KAFR QASIM

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: SC Kafr Qasim

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yoav Tomer — Ironi Modiin

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christopher Ikenna — SC Kafr Qasim

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
SC Kafr Qasim
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 232 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
160 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
150 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview