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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Clausura

01 May 2026 01:00 UTC

OLANCHO FC vs GENESIS FC

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Genesis FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Edwin Maldonado (own goal) — Olancho FC
  2. ⚽ Gabriel Araújo (penalty) — Genesis FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Lasso — Olancho FC
  2. ⚽ Juan Mosquera — Genesis FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Olancho FC
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
144 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
171 predictions

Match overview