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Sweden · Allsvenskan

27 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

HAECKEN vs SIRIUS

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Sirius

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mikkel Rygaard — Haecken
  2. ⚽ Gustav Lindgren — Haecken
  3. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Soumah — Sirius

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Sirius
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
103 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 19% (Weak)
21 predictions

Match overview