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Qatar · Stars League · Qatar Stars League

27 Apr 2026 14:15 UTC

UMM SALAL vs AL-AHLI

Final 1:3 Almanac Moment

Al-Ahli won Last goal: Umm Salal

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Islam Yaseen — Al-Ahli

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Michel Vlap — Al-Ahli
  2. ⚽ Julian Draxler — Al-Ahli
  3. ⚽ Oussama Tannane — Umm Salal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Al-Ahli
90-minute result: Al-Ahli
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
6%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 120 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 125 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 54% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
91 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
82 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
102 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
32 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
112 predictions

Match overview