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Moldova · Super Liga · Super Liga Championship Group

26 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

FC BALTI vs FC MILSAMI ORHEI

Final 1:0

FC Balti won Last goal: FC Balti

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Focsa — FC Balti

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Balti
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 100 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 88 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
40 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
46 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
75 predictions

Match overview