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France · Division 1 Feminine · Premiere Ligue

25 Apr 2026 19:00 UTC

LENS vs MARSEILLE

Final 0:1

Marseille won Last goal: Marseille

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Brown — Marseille

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Lens
90-minute result: Marseille
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 120 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 120 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
92 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
52 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
90 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
111 predictions

Match overview