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Scotland · League Two

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

FORFAR vs EDINBURGH CITY

Final 4:0

Forfar won Last goal: Forfar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Blair Alston — Forfar
  2. Craig Slater — Forfar

2nd half

  1. Jake Sutherland — Forfar
  2. Stuart Morrison — Forfar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 159 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 169 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
133 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
120 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
145 predictions

Match overview