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Hungary · NB I

25 Apr 2026 12:30 UTC

KISVARDA vs DIOSGYORI VTK

Final 1:2

Diosgyori VTK won Last goal: Diosgyori VTK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marko Matanovic — Kisvarda
  2. ⚽ Milán Peto (penalty) — Diosgyori VTK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lamin Colley — Diosgyori VTK
  2. 🟥 Gabor Molnar (2nd yellow) — Kisvarda

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Diosgyori VTK
90-minute result: Diosgyori VTK
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 182 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 178 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
120 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
87 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
167 predictions

Match overview