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Thailand · Thai League

25 Apr 2026 11:30 UTC

BG PATHUM UNITED vs NAKHON RATCHASIMA FC

Awaits result

Last goal: BG Pathum United

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Patrik Gustavsson — BG Pathum United

Model prediction

Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Weak
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Weak
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Weak
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Strong
29%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 211 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match preview