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Austria · Erste Liga · 2. Liga

24 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

SW BREGENZ vs SPG HOGO WELS

Final 2:3

SPG HOGO Wels won Last goal: SPG HOGO Wels

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marek Svec — SPG HOGO Wels
  2. ⚽ Jan Stefanon — SW Bregenz

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Malinowski — SPG HOGO Wels
  2. ⚽ Nicolas Rossi — SW Bregenz
  3. ⚽ Tischler — SPG HOGO Wels

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
SPG HOGO Wels
90-minute result: SPG HOGO Wels
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
152 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
175 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
170 predictions

Match overview