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Sweden · Allsvenskan

23 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

DEGERFORS vs AIK

Final 2:1

Degerfors won Last goal: Degerfors

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stanley Wilson (own goal) — Degerfors
  2. ⚽ Johan Hove — AIK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Armann Taranis — Degerfors

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
AIK
90-minute result: Degerfors
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 152 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
111 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
132 predictions

Match overview