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Denmark · Superliga · Superligaen Relegation Group

23 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

RANDERS FC vs FREDERICIA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Randers FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sofus Johannesen — Fredericia
  2. ⚽ John Bjoerkengren — Randers FC
  3. ⚽ Martin Andre Sjoelstad (own goal) — Fredericia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cyril Edudzi — Randers FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 162 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
136 predictions

Match overview