ATALANTA vs LAZIO
This match looks like a good opportunity based on the model's predictions.
Here's how the model reads the main markets:
- Match winner: 51%
- Both teams to score: 54%
- Total (2.5): 70%
Match timeline
2nd half
- Alessio Romagnoli — Lazio
- Mario Pasalic — Atalanta
Model prediction
Chance that both teams score
Chance of 2 or more goals
Chance of 2 or fewer goals
Chance of 3 or fewer goals
Chance of 4 or fewer goals
Chance of this exact score
Model Context
Match prediction context
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 43 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 41 completed matches.
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 4 past matches
Small sample sizes may be less reliable.
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.