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Ecuador · Serie A

22 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

LEONES DEL NORTE vs MANTA

Final 3:0

Leones del Norte won Last goal: Leones del Norte

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Anangonó — Leones del Norte
  2. ⚽ Juan Anangonó (penalty) — Leones del Norte

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cristhian Solano — Leones del Norte

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Leones del Norte
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 97 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 271 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
124 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
163 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
216 predictions

Match overview