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Romania · Cup · Cup Final Stage

21 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

FC ARGES PITESTI vs UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Universitatea Cluj advanced Last goal: Universitatea Cluj

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ricardo Matos (penalty) — FC Arges Pitesti

2nd half

  1. Oucasse Mendy — Universitatea Cluj

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
57%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 40 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 38 completed matches.

1X2 15% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 57% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 15% (Weak)
13 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
28 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
32 predictions
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
14 predictions
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
27 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
34 predictions

Match overview