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Bosnia-Herzegovina · Premier League

21 Apr 2026 18:30 UTC

FK VELEZ MOSTAR vs SIROKI BRIJEG

Final 3:0

FK Velez Mostar won Last goal: FK Velez Mostar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Armin Spahic — FK Velez Mostar
  2. ⚽ Armin Spahic — FK Velez Mostar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Armin Spahic — FK Velez Mostar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Siroki Brijeg
90-minute result: FK Velez Mostar
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
34%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 146 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 143 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 44% (Weak)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
106 predictions
Both teams to score 32% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 3.5 17% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
7 predictions

Match overview