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Denmark · Superliga · Superligaen Championship Playoff

20 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

FC MIDTJYLLAND vs AGF

Final 2:1

FC Midtjylland won Last goal: FC Midtjylland

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Henrik Dalsgaard — AGF

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jesper Hansen (own goal) — FC Midtjylland
  2. ⚽ Julius Emefile — FC Midtjylland

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
FC Midtjylland
90-minute result: FC Midtjylland
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
5:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 83% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 158 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
115 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 4.5 25% (Weak)
24 predictions

Match overview