← Back to matches

Armenia · Premier League

20 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

FC NOAH vs VAN

Final 2:0

FC Noah won Last goal: FC Noah

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Gonçalo Silva — FC Noah

2nd half

  1. Takuto Oshima — FC Noah

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 102 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 102 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
70 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
75 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
87 predictions

Match overview