← Back to matches

Romania · Superliga · Superliga Championship Group

19 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA vs RAPID BUCURESTI

Final 1:0

Universitatea Craiova won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Assad Al Hamlawi — Universitatea Craiova

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Rapid Bucuresti
90-minute result: Universitatea Craiova
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 273 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
197 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
163 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
55 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
17 predictions

Match overview