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Sweden · Allsvenskan

19 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

AIK vs KALMAR FF

Final 1:0

AIK won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Johan Hove — AIK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: AIK
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 146 completed matches.

1X2 16% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 19 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 16% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
127 predictions

Match overview