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Ecuador · Serie A

19 Apr 2026 20:30 UTC

INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE vs LDU DE QUITO

Awaits result

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jesús Pretell — LDU de Quito

Model prediction

Strong
Favorite
51%
1X2
Independiente del Valle
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 267 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
212 predictions

Match preview