← Back to matches

Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Apertura

19 Apr 2026 21:10 UTC

ALIANZA FC vs INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Good
Favorite
45%
1X2
Independiente Medellin
Weak
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Strong
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 406 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 373 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
263 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
261 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
150 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
311 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
351 predictions

Match preview