← Back to matches

Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

17 Apr 2026 20:00 UTC

SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE vs SPORTIVO SAN LORENZO

Final 2:1

Sportivo Trinidense won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fernando Romero — Sportivo Trinidense
  2. ⚽ Axel Galeano — Sportivo San Lorenzo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ariel Gauto — Sportivo Trinidense

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Sportivo Trinidense
90-minute result: Sportivo Trinidense
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 204 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
136 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
172 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
188 predictions

Match overview